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Written by Hendrik Tennekes, Climate Science
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Friday, 07 November 2008 |
My weblog of October 28 stirred up quite some dust here in Holland.
The Director-in-chief of KNMI was upset enough to send me an e-mail
(the first ever!) explaining the official position of his institute. He
wrote that KNMI supports the choice of 130 cm of sea-level rise as a
worst-case estimate based on the worst-case scenario of IPCC. I
responded by writing that I felt it was his duty to declare in public
that Professors Kabat and Vellinga had made statements that go far
beyond this extreme scenario, and were badly damaging legitimate
concerns about climate change that way. He did not respond to that. I
also sent him a draft of this second weblog, giving him the chance to
respond or to prepare a weblog himself. He didn’t react to that either.
In the meantime, my mailbox was inundated. One Dutch climate
scientist, who wishes to remain anonymous because of possible loss of
job security, sent me the letter reproduced below. I need not comment
on the Climate of Fear apparently prevailing in the Dutch climate
research community.
My respondent wrote: “I recently learned that there has been some
debate about the contribution of KNMI, the Royal Netherlands
Meteorological Institute, to the report by the Delta Commission. In
this report, the Commission gives an estimate for the sea-level rise in
the Netherlands in a “worst-case” scenario. Following the presentation
of the report, two members of the Commission, Pavel Kabat and Pier
Vellinga, stated that the sea level rise in this scenario - 130 cm rise
in 2100 - is actually not a worst-case scenario, but a very likely one.
This is a bit awkward, as you would think that everyone contributing to
the report has agreed that this is actually a
plausible-yet-very-unlikely scenario, and that by definition it cannot
get worse than the worst possible case.]
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Written by Brett Anderson, AccuWeather
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Tuesday, 04 November 2008 |
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Atmospheric chemistry scientists from MIT have discovered that the
world-wide increase in methane levels during 2007, which by the way was
the first in 10 years, occurred siimultaneously, which would contradict
theories that man is the primary source for significant increases.
According to the article
from Tgdaily, it normally takes about 1-year got man-made gases
generated in the more industrialized northern hemisphere to reach the
southern hemisphere, but the methane levels recorded in this study rose
simultaneously in the same year, indicating that this increase in
methane may be part of a natural cycle.
The scientists caution that more study is still needed since 2007 is
long gone and much of that data may not be that relevant during 2008.
There was an update to this report. A number of people wondered if
the massive Siberian permafrost meltoff in 2007 was responsible. The
authors disputed that saying that this episode was a northern
hemisphere event and would still require the normal 1-year cycling to
reach the southern hemisphere.
Source
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Written by Lord Christopher Monckton via icecap.us
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Saturday, 01 November 2008 |
In a blog post,
Bill Chameides says “global warming” is still happening. It isn’t. As
the global temperature graph below shows, all four of the world’s major
global surface temperature datasets (NASA GISS; RSS; UAH; and
Hadley/University of East Anglia) show a decline in temperatures that
have now persisted for seven years.
‘Global warming’? What ‘global warming’? All four of the world’s major
surface temperature datasets show seven years of global cooling. The
straight lines are the regression lines showing the trend over past
seven years. It is decisively downward. Chameides’ graph overleaf
appears to have been tampered with to exclude the very rapid cooling
that occurred between 2007 (the curve stops in January 2007, when a
strong El Nino artificially but temporarily boosted temperatures) and
2008. The fall in temperatures between January 2007 and January 2008,
carefully not shown on Chameides’ graph, was the greatest
January-January fall since records began in 1880.
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Written by Andrew Orlowski, The Register
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Wednesday, 29 October 2008 |
Snow fell as the House of Commons debated Global Warming yesterday -
the first October fall in the metropolis since 1922. The Mother of
Parliaments was discussing the Mother of All Bills for the last time,
in a marathon six hour session.
In order to combat a projected two degree centigrade rise in global
temperature, the Climate Change Bill pledges the UK to reduce its
carbon dioxide emissions by 80 per cent by 2050. The bill was receiving
a third reading, which means both the last chance for both democratic
scrutiny and consent.
The bill creates an enormous bureaucratic apparatus for monitoring
and reporting, which was expanded at the last minute. Amendments by the
Government threw emissions from shipping and aviation into the
monitoring program, and also included a revision of the Companies Act
(c. 46) "requiring the directors’ report of a company to contain such
information as may be specified in the regulations about emissions of
greenhouse gases from activities for which the company is responsible"
by 2012.
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Written by Tom Richard, Climate Change Fraud
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Tuesday, 21 October 2008 |
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Below you'll find a list of the latest Journal Reviews done by the folks at CO2 Science. Check 'em out as they are very informative, fact-based, and above all, interesting.
North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Activity: How has it varied between 1878 and 2006?
The Atacama Desert During the Medieval Warm Period: What distinguished it from the globally-cooler periods that preceded and followed it?
Reproductive Responses of Paper Birch Trees to Elevated CO2 and O3 Concentrations: What are they? ... and how do the benefits of atmospheric CO2 enrichment compare with the damages caused by O3 pollution of the air?
Dietary-Mediated Effects of Elevated CO2 on the Longevity and Fecundity of Japanese Beetles: How does the beetles' consumption of foliage grown in CO2-enriched air affect the two life-trait phenomena?
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Written by CO2 Science
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Tuesday, 21 October 2008 |
Reference
Changnon, D., Merinsky, C. and Lawson, M. 2008. Climatology of surface
cyclone tracks associated with large central and eastern U.S.
Snowstorms, 1950-2000. Monthly Weather Review 136: 3193-3202.
What was done
Using a newly developed dataset (Changnon et al.,
2006), which "defined the dimensions of extra large damaging snowstorms
during 1950-2000 in the eastern two-thirds of the nation," the authors
assessed the characteristics of "the surface low pressure systems that
caused the 241 largest and most costly snowstorms, those producing
heavy snow (>15.2 cm of snowfall) over 258,000 km2 (100,000 mile2) or more area" in "the same 1-2-day period," which systems were responsible for "the top 10% of all snowstorms."
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Written by Dr. Roy W. Spencer
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Monday, 20 October 2008 |
Abstract
A simple climate model forced by satellite-observed changes in the Earth's radiative budget associated with the Pacific Decadal Oscillation is shown to mimic the major features of global average temperature change during the 20th Century - including two-thirds of the warming trend. A mostly-natural source of global warming is also consistent with mounting observational evidence that the climate system is much less sensitive to carbon dioxide emissions than the IPCC's climate models simulate.
1. Introduction
For those who have followed my writings and publications in the last 18 months (e.g. Spencer et al., 2007), you know that we are finding satellite evidence that the climate system could be much less sensitive to greenhouse gas emissions than the U.N.'s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC, 2007) climate models suggest.
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