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Written by Drew Thornley, from Planet Gore
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| on May 30, 2008, 01:32 PM E.S.T.
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Yesterday,
I had the pleasure of speaking on global warming and CO2 regulation to
a group of eighth graders — a change of pace from my usual speaking
engagements. Prior to my visit, the class wrote papers on whether
man-made global warming is occurring. Half the class was assigned the
pro-MMGW argument and half the con. Afterward, the class debated the
issue.
This balanced look at climate change, along with a
rational debate, is what is missing in today’s global warming hysteria.
Where’s the debate? Where is the acknowledgement of the anti-alarmists’
arguments? Why does research funding flow overwhelmingly to those
connecting you-name-it to anthropogenic global warming?
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Written by Giovanni Leoncini, Climate Science
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| on May 23, 2008, 02:21 PM E.S.T.
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Giovanni Leoncini is finishing his Ph.D. with Dr. Pielke and is
working at the Meteorological Department of the University of Reading
on convective ensembles. He can be contacted at
g(dot)leoncini(at)reading(dot)ac(dot)uk [Thanks to Timo Hämeranta for
alerting us to this paper].
Giovanni Leoncini’s Guest Weblog
As a member of the mesoscale NWP community, climate modeling papers
and seminars often seem to have a different standard when it comes to
verification. Whilst it is routine in the NWP community (see the last
issue of Meteorological Applications on verification: http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/journal/113388504/home), I don’t perceive a similar effort in the climate modeling community. In the introduction of their paper “Performance metrics for climate models”
(2008, J. Geophys. Res.) Glecker et al. mention a few reasons for this
discrepancy.
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Written by Dr. Jennifer Marohasy's blog
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| on May 23, 2008, 02:04 PM E.S.T.
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Steve McIntyre's recent Ohio State University presentation is now available online.
This is an excellent summary of the 'Hockey Stick' debate and the
climate debate in general, which extends to 45 pages (including
references).
The presentation concludes:
So where does that leave us?
In my opinion, there are serious and probably fatal problems with
the main proxies used as supposed evidence against a warm MWP – the
Graybill strip bark chronologies, Briffa’s adjustment to the Tornetrask
series, the inconsistency between Briffa’s Yamal substitution and the
updated Polar Urals series and so on. For every proxy that supposedly
shows a MWP cooler than the present, there seems to be one that is just
as good or better evidencing the opposite. For the California and Urals
proxies so fundamental to the Hockey Stick, the ecological evidence is
further evidence against the Graybill and Briffa chronologies being
interpretable as temperature proxies.
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Written by worldclimatereport.com
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| on May 22, 2008, 01:00 AM E.S.T.
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Sometimes we wonder if authors of papers are not outright campaigning for coverage in World Climate Report.
Chose a title like “Ocean surface warming: The North Atlantic remains
within the envelope of previous recorded conditions” and you will be
guaranteed coverage by our skeptical scientists!
The latest article, with the title above, appeared recently in Deep-Sea Research which
if you don’t know is published by Elsevier (one of the largest
publishers of academic journals in the world). The research of interest
here was conducted by a team of oceanographers from the United
Kingdom’s Swansea University, and Australia’s University of Darwin, the
University of Queensland, and CSIRO. Victoria Hobson and her three
associates begin the article noting “There is increasing evidence that
warming global temperatures will have profound effects on the Earth’s
ecosystems, with the global mean air surface temperature rising by
around 0.6°C during the 20th century, with 11 of the last 12 years
(1995–2006) ranking amongst the 12 warmest years in the instrumental
record of global surface temperature since 1850.” They could win an
award from Al Gore with that mouthful! Turning attention to the ocean,
they write “Oceans may play a crucial role in regulating the climate,
and since the 1950s the heat content of the world’s oceans has
increased by ~2 x 10^23 J, equivalent to a mean volume warming of
0.06°C. While this increase is an order of magnitude less than that
observed for terrestrial systems it may be even more important as water
heats at a much slower rate than air because of its heat capacity.”
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Written by Roger Pielke, Jr., Prometheus
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| on May 21, 2008, 10:17 AM E.S.T.
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Readers following recent threads know that I've been looking for
instances where scientists make claims that some observations are
"inconsistent with" the results from climate models. The reason for
such a search is that it is all too easy for modelers to claim that
anything and everything under the sun is "consistent with" their
predictions, sometimes to avoid the perception of a loss of credibility in the political battle over climate change.
I am happy to report that claims of "inconsistent with" do exist. Here is an example from a paper just out by Knutson et al. in Nature Geoscience:
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Written by Bob Unruh, WorldNetDaily
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| on May 19, 2008, 01:00 AM E.S.T.
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More than 31,000 scientists across the U.S. – including more than 9,000 Ph.D.s in fields such as atmospheric science, climatology, Earth science, environment and dozens of other specialties – have signed a petition rejecting "global warming," the assumption that the human production of greenhouse gases is damaging Earth's climate.
"There is no convincing scientific evidence that human release of carbon dioxide, methane, or other greenhouse gases is causing or will, in the foreseeable future, cause catastrophic heating of the Earth's atmosphere and disruption of the Earth's climate," the petition states. "Moreover, there is substantial scientific evidence that increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide produce many beneficial effects upon the natural plant and animal environments of the Earth."
The Petition Project actually was launched nearly 10 years ago, when the first few thousand signatures were assembled. Then, between 1999 and 2007, the list of signatures grew gradually without any special effort or campaign.
But now, a new effort has been conducted because of an "escalation of the claims of 'consensus,' release of the movie 'An Inconvenient Truth' by Mr. Al Gore, and related events," according to officials with the project.
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Written by Dr. Jennifer Marohasy's blog
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| on May 15, 2008, 01:09 PM E.S.T.
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“Carbon Monitoring for Action (CARMA) is a massive database
containing information on the carbon emissions of over 50,000 power
plants and 4,000 power companies worldwide. Power generation accounts
for 40% of all carbon emissions in the United States and about
one-quarter of global emissions. CARMA is the first global inventory of
a major, emissions-producing sector of the economy.” At least that is
according to CARMA an initiative of the Center for Global Development,
a Washington-based think tank.
But according to environmental consultant Shakeb Afsah, of Performeks, the overall data and the analytical architecture of CARMA are flawed. Afsah’s findings are detailed in a new report ‘Carbon Monitoring for Action (CARMA): Climate Activism Built on Specious Data’ at a new website, www.climatedataduediligence.org.
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