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A Note on Temperature Anomalies
Written by Tom Quirk, via Jennifer Marohasy Blog   
Wednesday, 11 June 2008

One of the most vexing things about climate change is the endless debate about temperatures. Did they rise, did they fall or were they pushed? At times it seems like a Monty Python sketch following either the Dead Parrot or the 5 or 10 Minute Argument.

However it is possible to see some of the issues by looking at the correlation of the five temperature series that are advanced by the uppers or the downers.

The five groups are:
1. GISS, The Goddard Institute, home of James Hansen,
2. NCDC, The National Climate Data Center, a part of NOAA (as is GISS), the National Oceanographic and Atmosphere Administration.
3. BMO/UEA, The British Meteorological Office and the University of East Anglia.
4. UAH, The University of Alabama, Huntsville, home of Roy Spencer with his colleagues including John Christy of NASA and
5. RSS, Remote Sensing Systems in Santa Rosa, California, a company supported by NASA for the analysis of satellite data.

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Study of Glacial Earthquakes Shakes Up Idea of How Ice Streams Move
Written by innovations report   
Monday, 09 June 2008

New research that integrates seismic recordings with Global Positioning System (GPS) measurements indicates that a 7,000-square-mile region of the Whillians Ice Stream in West Antarctica moves more than two feet twice every day in an earthquake-like pattern equivalent to a Magnitude 7 temblor.

The findings were published in this week's edition of the journal Nature by a group of scientists that includes investigators from Washington University in St. Louis, Penn State University and the University of Newcastle in Great Britain. The National Science Foundation (NSF) funded the U.S. researchers.

Seismologists use the magnitude scale to describe the seismic energy released by an earthquake. An earthquake measured at between 7.0 and 7.9 on the scale is considered "major," and can cause serious damage over large areas in populated regions of the world. Not including the events described in the new findings, there are an estimated 20 such quakes worldwide each year.

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Want a “Settled” Debate? First, Have a Debate.
Written by Drew Thornley, from Planet Gore   
Friday, 30 May 2008

Yesterday, I had the pleasure of speaking on global warming and CO2 regulation to a group of eighth graders — a change of pace from my usual speaking engagements. Prior to my visit, the class wrote papers on whether man-made global warming is occurring. Half the class was assigned the pro-MMGW argument and half the con. Afterward, the class debated the issue.

 

This balanced look at climate change, along with a rational debate, is what is missing in today’s global warming hysteria. Where’s the debate? Where is the acknowledgement of the anti-alarmists’ arguments? Why does research funding flow overwhelmingly to those connecting you-name-it to anthropogenic global warming? 

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Model Verification - A Guest Weblog by Giovanni Leoncini
Written by Giovanni Leoncini, Climate Science   
Friday, 23 May 2008

Giovanni Leoncini is finishing his Ph.D. with Dr. Pielke and is working at the Meteorological Department of the University of Reading on convective ensembles. He can be contacted at g(dot)leoncini(at)reading(dot)ac(dot)uk [Thanks to Timo Hämeranta for alerting us to this paper].

Giovanni Leoncini’s Guest Weblog

As a member of the mesoscale NWP community, climate modeling papers and seminars often seem to have a different standard when it comes to verification. Whilst it is routine in the NWP community (see the last issue of Meteorological Applications on verification: http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/journal/113388504/home), I don’t perceive a similar effort in the climate modeling community. In the introduction of their paper “Performance metrics for climate models” (2008, J. Geophys. Res.) Glecker et al. mention a few reasons for this discrepancy.

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Was 1998 the Warmest Year of the Millennium?
Written by Dr. Jennifer Marohasy's blog   
Friday, 23 May 2008
Steve McIntyre's recent Ohio State University presentation is now available online. This is an excellent summary of the 'Hockey Stick' debate and the climate debate in general, which extends to 45 pages (including references).

The presentation concludes:

So where does that leave us?

In my opinion, there are serious and probably fatal problems with the main proxies used as supposed evidence against a warm MWP – the Graybill strip bark chronologies, Briffa’s adjustment to the Tornetrask series, the inconsistency between Briffa’s Yamal substitution and the updated Polar Urals series and so on. For every proxy that supposedly shows a MWP cooler than the present, there seems to be one that is just as good or better evidencing the opposite. For the California and Urals proxies so fundamental to the Hockey Stick, the ecological evidence is further evidence against the Graybill and Briffa chronologies being interpretable as temperature proxies.

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A Sea Surface Story
Written by worldclimatereport.com   
Thursday, 22 May 2008

Sometimes we wonder if authors of papers are not outright campaigning for coverage in World Climate Report. Chose a title like “Ocean surface warming: The North Atlantic remains within the envelope of previous recorded conditions” and you will be guaranteed coverage by our skeptical scientists!

The latest article, with the title above, appeared recently in Deep-Sea Research which if you don’t know is published by Elsevier (one of the largest publishers of academic journals in the world). The research of interest here was conducted by a team of oceanographers from the United Kingdom’s Swansea University, and Australia’s University of Darwin, the University of Queensland, and CSIRO. Victoria Hobson and her three associates begin the article noting “There is increasing evidence that warming global temperatures will have profound effects on the Earth’s ecosystems, with the global mean air surface temperature rising by around 0.6°C during the 20th century, with 11 of the last 12 years (1995–2006) ranking amongst the 12 warmest years in the instrumental record of global surface temperature since 1850.” They could win an award from Al Gore with that mouthful! Turning attention to the ocean, they write “Oceans may play a crucial role in regulating the climate, and since the 1950s the heat content of the world’s oceans has increased by ~2 x 10^23 J, equivalent to a mean volume warming of 0.06°C. While this increase is an order of magnitude less than that observed for terrestrial systems it may be even more important as water heats at a much slower rate than air because of its heat capacity.”

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An *Inconsistent With* Spotted, and Defended
Written by Roger Pielke, Jr., Prometheus   
Wednesday, 21 May 2008

Readers following recent threads know that I've been looking for instances where scientists make claims that some observations are "inconsistent with" the results from climate models. The reason for such a search is that it is all too easy for modelers to claim that anything and everything under the sun is "consistent with" their predictions, sometimes to avoid the perception of a loss of credibility in the political battle over climate change.

I am happy to report that claims of "inconsistent with" do exist. Here is an example from a paper just out by Knutson et al. in Nature Geoscience:

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