Climate Change: While the media scream that man-made global
warming is making the North Pole ice-free, another possible cause is as
old as the Earth itself. They just have to look deeper.
To the delight of Al Gore and the rest of the Gaia groupies,
scientists at the National Snow & Ice Data Center in Colorado are
predicting that the North Pole will be completely free of ice this
summer. The apocalyptic headlines already are starting to appear.
"From the viewpoint of science, the North Pole is just another point
on the globe, but symbolically it is hugely important," says the
center's Mark Serreze. "There is supposed to be ice at the North Pole,
not open water."
The Bret Stephens piece that Ed Craig excerpts below
also brings to mind the work of Leon Festinger, whose pioneering work
on cognitive dissonance theory is so applicable to a movement whose
noisiest champions often lead the most incompatible lifestyles
imaginable.
Festinger co-wrote (with Henry W. Riecken and Stanley Schachter) the 1956 book When Prophecy Fails,
which chronicled a fairly typical cult following: a housewife claimed
to be receiving doomsday messages from aliens, who nonetheless offered
hope for those who listened to their counsel. (Quick, someone check
James Hansen’s immigration status, and bone up on the Alien Tort Claims Act climate litigation.)
Festinger
et al. detailed how the failure of a prophecy to come about can often
yield the opposite effect of what the rational person would expect: the
cult following gets stronger and its adherents ever more convinced of
their truth. One reading of Festinger, as to why the rational response
should not follow in that situation, is that such prophesying is not
rational, or the act of rational beings.
PARIS: The Group of Eight (G8) is set
to fudge its decision on climate change next week, reflecting the issue's weaker
status in the absence of European campaigning and in the face of sky-high oil
prices.
A year ago, on the back of blunt warnings by UN scientists,
global warming dominated the G8 summit in Heiligendamm.
Overcoming
fierce US resistance, Germany coaxed the rich nations' club into agreeing to
"consider seriously" the aim of at least halving worldwide emissions of
greenhouse gases by 2050.
Today, scientific concern about climate
change has if anything deepened -- but the political focus on it has blurred.
"We have resources. We have technologies. But largely lacking is the
political will," UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon said on Sunday ahead of the
July 7-9 gathering in Toyako, northern Japan. Read rest…
Scientists say the jury is still out on whether rising
sea temperatures will cause more hurricanes to hit U.S. coastlines. Yet
some insurance companies are boosting premiums based on assumptions
that they will. Others are withdrawing from coastal communities
altogether.
Last year, Leanne Lord of Marion, Mass., decided to
put her house up for sale after her insurance premiums more than
doubled to about $2,892 a year since 2005. Many of her Cape Cod
neighbors, who hadn't seen a hurricane in the area since 1991, followed
suit. Today, there's a glut of houses on the local market.
"A lot of people can't afford to live here anymore,
between the insurance and the taxes having gone up so much," says Ms.
Lord, a 52-year-old public-health nurse. "They have been forced to
leave and I think that is really sad."
Costs for homeowner insurance along the East and Gulf
coasts have risen 20% to 100% since 2004, says the Insurance
Information Institute, a trade group. In the three years through 2006,
says the institute, property and casualty insurers registered record
profits, topping out at $65.8 billion in 2006. (Despite severe U.S.
weather that has caused about $8.9 billion in insured property losses
to date this year, it's too early to forecast 2008 profits.)
Plenty of companies are angling to make money off climate change
sometime in the future. The insurance industry isn’t waiting around for
the science or the politics to settle: It’s raising premiums now on the
premise that rising temperatures will lead to more hurricanes, more
damage, and more claims.
M.P. McQueen reports today in the WSJ
that insurers across the U.S. are increasingly relying on “computerized
catastrophe modeling” which tells them just what they want to hear:
Hurricanes will get bigger and more frequent in coming years, so
homeowners in coastal areas have to pony up even more to protect their
houses—even as insurers rack up record profits. The shift from using
historical data to computer models is to blame, the paper says:
Companies that rely too heavily on cat-model data “are
subjecting their businesses and their customers to the volatility of
computer models,” says [Karen] Clark, who now runs a Boston cat-model
consulting business. “The models are being used as if they produce
definitive answers rather than uncertain estimates.” Ms. Clark says she
advises clients to use them in conjunction with other factors, such as
broad historical data.
Investors Business Daily
yesterday provided a brief but fairly recent catalog of considerations
which illustrate the mushy ground upon which the contention of
anthropogenic global warming rests.
Against the backdrop of the
hysteria from the "mainstream" media last week in response to the
prediction from the National Snow and Ice Data Center that the North
Pole will be free of ice this summer, the piece points out that a
similar prediction was made in 2000...yet the end of the world did not
arrive as predicted.
The IBD piece also references the story I mentioned last week about the underwater volcanoes beneath the Arctic pouring lava and belching out greenhouse gasses
The article “Cool spring dampening
possibilities for corn crop” caught my eye. My immediate thought, given
the plethora of recent articles about global warming, was that we are
now going to see the wacko environmental nuts like Al Gore
hypothesizing that global warming is the cause of the cool spring that
is creating a greater crisis for food and ethanol production.
Al
Gore and those same wacko environmental nuts are responsible for the
ethanol scam, which has recently been the subject of other articles from respected authorities as an idea whose time has come and gone due
to the fact that it is not a workable solution to energy conservation.
Anyone who still thinks that using corn as an additive to gasoline to
make cars more efficient needs to research this and learn the true
facts. The shortage of food in the world and the high prices for food
today are directly related to this mistake by some well-meaning
gullible individuals, and more importantly, by large corporations and
Al Gore’s foundation, which benefits financially from creating this
problem.
I believe the ethanol “solution” has been thoroughly debunked and would like to focus this letter on “global warming” instead.
I recently read an article over at The Aviator Newspaper that really summed up the media coverage in this country on the global warming myth today. It’s a chase to blame any type of weather event on global warming, regardless of whether or not it’s actually true.
I’ve said before on this blog that Hurricane Katrina was the poster
child of the global warming movement in this country today. Katrina,
hardly the most powerful hurricane to strike the mainland U.S., was a
category three storm when it pounded Louisiana in 2005. Video of the
destruction led the news for weeks, President Bush was all but blamed
for the storm, and FEMA took the brunt of the criticism as supplies
were late arriving at the scene. The mainstream media focused on the
strength of the storm and the awesome destruction left in its path.
Homes were left in ruin. Boats floated down streets in New Orleans
and some residents who didn’t heed warnings to evacuate died.
Hurricane Katrina was a direct result of our selfish attitude toward
our planet. Our globe had finally had enough. Earth was angry and she
was paying us back for all the damage we’d done to the atmosphere. We
drove too much. We allowed industry to put too much carbon dioxide in
the atmosphere. And now we must suffer the consequences of her wrath.
About six months ago, I sat down with some like-minded folks and took stabs at what form of Sen. John Kerry's disastrous "global test" would most likely come from the presidential nominees this time around.
As you'll recall, during the 2004 presidential race Kerry proffered the following:
But
if and when you [engage in preemptive war], Jim, you have to do it in a
way that passes the test, that passes the global test where your
countrymen, your people understand fully why you're doing what you're
doing and you can prove to the world that you did it for legitimate
reasons.
Bad news out of Canada, according to Greenwire.
It seems that not only have the Chinese overtaken the U.S. as the
largest overall emitter of carbon dioxide, but our wretchedly excessive
per capita emissions also have fallen behind other kinder, gentler
nations.
China of course is and says it will remain exempt from
the Kyoto scheme, much like other top and rapidly growing emitters
India, South Korea, Indonesia, Brazil and Mexico among 150 others.
Now,
it turns out, those nice, polite neighbors to the north are larger
per-capita emitters than Americans are. I wonder if they know that they
can't just go around setting their thermostats where they want and
driving the vehicle of their choice, and think other countries are
going to just accept that.
"I want you to think about this," Barack Obama said in
Las Vegas last week. "The oil companies have already been given 68
million acres of federal land, both onshore and offshore, to drill.
They're allowed to drill it, and yet they haven't touched it – 68
million acres that have the potential to nearly double America's total
oil production."
Wow, how come the oil companies didn't think of that?
Perhaps because the notion is obviously false – at
least to anyone who knows how oil and gas exploration actually works.
Predictably, however, Mr. Obama's claim is also the mantra of Nancy
Pelosi, Barbara Boxer, John Kerry, Nick Rahall and others writing
Congressional energy policy. As a public service, here's a remedial
education.