| on May 1, 2008, 12:28 PM E.S.T.
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There seems to be an unwritten assumption
among environmentalists — and among the media — that any influence
humans have on nature is, by definition, bad. I even see it in
scientific papers written by climate researchers. For instance, if we
can measure some minute amount of a trace gas in the atmosphere at the
South Pole, well removed from its human source, we are astonished at
the far-reaching effects of mankind’s “pollution.”
But
if nature was left undisturbed, would it be any happier and more
peaceful? Would the carnivores stop eating those poor, defenseless
herbivores, as well as each other? Would fish and other kinds of sea
life stop infringing on the rights of others by feasting on them? Would
there be no more droughts, hurricanes, floods, heat waves, tornadoes,
or glaciers flowing toward the sea?
In the case of global warming, the alleged culprit — carbon dioxide —
just happens to be necessary for life on Earth. How can Al Gore say
with a straight face that we are treating the atmosphere like an “open
sewer” by dumping carbon dioxide into it? Would he say the same thing
if we were dumping more oxygen into the atmosphere? Or more nitrogen?
As
a climate researcher, I am increasingly convinced that most of our
recent global warming has been natural, not manmade. If true, this
would mean that global temperatures can be expected to peak in the
coming years (if they haven’t already), and global cooling will
eventually ensue.
Just for the sake of
argument, let us assume that manmade global warming really is a false
alarm. In that case, we would still need to ask: What are the other
negative effects of pumping more CO2 into the atmosphere?
Well,
plant physiologists have known for a long time that most vegetation
loves more carbon dioxide. It grows faster, is more drought-tolerant,
and is more efficient in its water use. While the pre-industrial CO2
concentration of the atmosphere was only about 280 parts per million
(ppm) by volume, and now it is around 380 ppm, some greenhouses pump it
all the way up to around 1,000 ppm. How can environmentalists claim
that helping vegetation to grow is a bad thing?
The
bigger concern has been the possible effect of the extra CO2 on the
world’s oceans, because more CO2 lowers the pH of seawater. While it is
claimed that this makes the water more acidic, this is misleading.
Since seawater has a pH around 8.1, it will take an awful lot of CO2 it
to even make the water neutral (pH=7), let alone acidic (pH less than
7).
Still, the main worry has been that the
extra CO2 could hurt the growth of plankton, which represents the start
of the oceanic food chain. But recent research (published on April 18
in Science Express) has now shown, contrary to expectations, that one
of the most common forms of plankton actually grows faster and bigger
when more CO2 is pumped into the water. Like vegetation on land, it
loves the extra CO2, too!
It is quite
possible that the biosphere (vegetation, sea life, etc.) has been
starved for atmospheric CO2. Before humans started burning fossil
fuels, vegetation and ocean plankton had been gobbling up as much CO2
out of the atmosphere as they could, but it was like a vacuum cleaner
trying to suck through a stopped-up hose.
Now,
no matter how much CO2 we pump into the atmosphere each year, the
biosphere takes out an average of 50 percent of that extra amount. Even
after we triple the amount of CO2 we produce, nature still takes out 50
percent of the extra amount.
I think it is time for scientists to consider the possibility that more
CO2 in the atmosphere might, on the whole, be good for life on Earth.
Oh, I’m sure there will be some species which are hurt more than
helped, but this is true of any change in nature. There are always
winners and losers.
For instance, during a
strong El Niño event, trillions of animals in the ocean die as the
usual patterns of ocean temperature are disrupted. When Mother Nature
does something like this it is considered natural. Yet, if humans were
to do such a thing, it would be considered an environmental
catastrophe. Does anyone else see something wrong with this picture?
The view that nature was in some sort of preferred, yet fragile, state
of balance before humans came along is arbitrary and philosophical —
even religious. It is entirely possible that there are other, more
preferable states of balance in nature which are more robust and less
fragile than whatever the state of nature was before we came along.
You
would think that science is the last place you would find such
religious opinions, yet they dominate the worldview of scientists.
Natural scientists tend to worship nature, and they then teach others
to worship nature, too . . . all under the guise of “science.”
And
to the extent that this view is religious, then making environmental
laws based upon that view could be considered a violation of the
establishment of religion clause of the First Amendment to the
Constitution.
The automatic assumption that mankind’s
production of CO2 by burning of fossil fuels is bad for the environment
needs to be critically examined. Unfortunately, scientists who question
that point of view are immediately branded as shills for Big Oil.
But
since I am already accused of this (falsely, I might add), I really
don’t mind being one of the first scientists to raise the issue. Source
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