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If Republicans are going to be stampeded by phony environmental alarms and propose terrible public policies in the name of these scams, what the hell do we need Democrats for?
America is so far gone in the global warming superstition that the Republican candidate for president (the REPUBLICAN!) is proposing a Soviet scheme to take decisions about energy use out of the private sector where they belong and turn them over to politicians and bureaucrats. If there's a quicker way to make America into a Third World nation, pray tell me what it is.
When a politician whoops up a really bad public policy, it's reasonable to ask if said politician is cynical or just stupid. But this one's a real puzzlement. We've seen enough of John McCain to know that he's not stupid -- willful sometimes, erratic for sure, too eager to insult conservatives, and taken to the odd flight of pique or narcissism. But he's not stupid by a long shot. And for all his faults, he's not notably cynical. At least for a politician.
So how account for the execrable cap and trade policy McCain
sprung on us from Portland, Oregon, Monday and which he says will save
us from the dreaded carbon dioxide? (If you're asking: "Carbon dioxide
-- isn't that what makes the flowers grow and what baby's breath is
made of?" Answer: yes.) All a cap and trade system (government energy
rationing) would bring about is a sharp decline in our standard of
living in return for, well, nothing. Sources of energy to replace the
carbon-based ones we rely on now just aren't here yet, and we don't
know when they will be.
Ignoring this, McCain is promising a
terrible policy in the name of preventing warming of the planet, which
some scientists and lots of politicians and bureaucrats and
enviro-nutters claim will lead to a list of almost Biblical horrors.
You've heard the litany -- death and disease from rising sea levels,
brain-frying heat, lush land turning to desert, storms so strong as to
make Hurricane Katrina seem a summer breeze by comparison, and rampant
erectile dysfunction. (OK, I made that last one up -- but the only
reason the global warming hysterics haven't claimed this is that they
haven't thought of it yet.)
THE ONLY PROBLEM is that the evidence
for these almost operatic calamities is, contrary to most of the public
clamor, paper thin. Most scientists don't buy into the calamity theory,
though various political organizations, like the UN's International
Panel on Climate Control, claim they do. Consider just a few things:
- The temperature of the Earth and its atmosphere has been going up
and down in long cycles for at least the last million years, and
there's no convincing evidence that the slight increase in temperature
during the 20th century (there's been hardly any measurable increase so
far this century) is anything more or less than the normal variation.
- The Earth's warm periods (during one of which Greenland was named
Greenland -- for good reason), many of them warmer than we are now,
have been some of the planet's more prosperous times. The horrors that
Al Gore and his co-religionists are threatening us with did not occur
during the planet's previous warm periods. No reason to believe they
will take place now.
- Even during the 20th century when the temperature of the planet
went up about .7 of a degree Celsius (we have to say "about" because
taking the planet's temperature is difficult, there being no clear
place to stick the thermometer), temperature did not vary with the
levels of CO2 being produced by Man. Much of the warming took place
during the first half of the century before Man became really good at
producing greenhouse gasses. Then temperatures actually went down from
about 1940 into the seventies, the period of the most rapid
industrialization on the planet, before starting up again in the
eighties. The evidence tends to show that CO2 levels increase after
warming as an effect rather than preceding it as a cause.
- Computer models relied on by scientists to predict future global
temperature have been consistently wrong in the predictions they've
made for the last decade-plus, vastly overestimating actual global
temperatures.
- While global temperatures have not varied with the levels of CO2
in the atmosphere, they have varied pretty closely to solar cycles.
Which, as our Sun is the source of all heat, makes a good deal of
sense. Knowing there has been some melting on the Earth's solar caps is
less alarming when we realize solar caps on other planets in our solar
system are also showing some melting.
- There's plenty more of this sort that puts the lie to the
arguments of the calamitists. But you get the idea. The arguments of
the "Repent now, the end is near" crowd dissolve on even half-way close
inspection. You don't have to have a Ph.D. in science to see the
disconnects between the febrile claims and the sparse evidence.
What seems crystal clear is that what has come to be known as global
warming and the horrors that are said to attend it are not scientific
questions. They aren't. The issue is political. Period. Paragraph.
FOR THE LEFT'S political agenda of taxes and regulation without end,
you couldn't design a better scam than global warming. And a scam is
all it is. As someone smart and famous once said, "You can fool some of
the people all of the time, and dazzle the rest of them with statistics
and charts." These folks just want as much control over the economy as
they now exercise, to our sorrow, over the culture. And global warming
is their ticket to ride.
What a dumb lucky break for the lefties that someone hit on this
rich vein of nonsense. It would be enough to make some of them think
there's a God, if they weren't so sure there isn't. Global warming has
everything necessary to fool the marks -- at least those who don't have
the time to play close attention, which is almost everyone because most
everyone has a life.
The question of what causes climate change -- talk of "tackling
climate change" is incoherent because climate is always changing -- is
complicated. So almost no one has the time, talent, or inclination to
pick through all the assertions (hypotheses) and compare them with the
facts (evidence) to determine who's telling the truth. So the cynical
activists and the hysterics can make the most preposterous claims, sure
in the knowledge that journalists -- most of whom are so poorly
educated in science they wouldn't know the scientific method from the
rhythm method, and in any case just want something sensational for page
one -- won't call them on it.
So why does McCain whoop this nonsense up? If you see him, please
ask him. He doesn't return my calls. We've agreed that McCain isn't
stupid. But if he's going to go along with leftwing silliness of this
sort, he may as well be. If the so-called conservative party makes no
attempt to counter left-wing silliness of epic proportions, and
proposes policies that put our standard of living at risk, perhaps it's
the Republicans we don't need. Source
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