GREEN scientists have been accused of overstating the
dangers of climate change by researchers who found that the number of
people killed each year by weather-related disasters is falling.
Their report suggests that a central plank in the global warming
argument – that it will result in a big increase in deaths from
weather-related disasters – is undermined by the facts. It shows deaths
in such disasters peaked in the 1920s and have been declining ever
since.
Average annual deaths from weather-related events in the period
1990-2006 – considered by scientists to be when global warming has been
most intense – were down by 87% on the 1900-89 average. The mortality
rate from catastrophes, measured in deaths per million people, dropped
by 93%.
The report by the Civil Society Coalition on Climate Change, a
grouping of 41 mainly free-market bodies, comes on the eve of an
international meeting on climate change in Bali.
Indur
Goklany, a US-based expert on weather-related catastrophes, charted
global deaths through the 20th century from “extreme” weather events.
Compared with the peak rate of deaths from weather-related events in
the 1920s of nearly 500,000 a year, the death toll during the period
2000-06 averaged 19,900. “The United Nations has got the issues and
their relative importance backward,” Goklany said.
The number of deaths had fallen sharply because of better warning
systems, improved flood defences and other measures. Poor countries
remained most vulnerable.
Woe, oh woe. Life is getting better … .