| State risks economy on global-warming plan |
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| Written by Dan Walters, San Jose Mercury News | |||
| Sunday, 29 June 2008 | |||
Not coincidentally…the governor was in Florida (having flown there on his private, oil-consuming jet) to complain that the United States is "so addicted to oil it will take years to wean ourselves from it" [with] more aggressive national energy policies.
The decades-long stalemate on water, the state's perpetual budget crisis and the failure of Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger's health care plan are merely three examples of the political system's chronic inability to act decisively and effectively. And even on those rare occasions when major new policies are adopted, they tend to fall well short of their purported benefits, a sterling example being the unanimous approval of electric energy "deregulation" in 1996 that became a colossal failure a few years later. California used to undertake big and visionary projects, such as its famous freeway network, or its once-unmatched system of public higher education. But that was then, and this is now. California has changed immensely from those halcyon days, and its recent record of gridlock and failure is pretty grim. We should, therefore, be somewhat skeptical of California's latest foray into high-concept politics, Schwarzenegger's crusade to sharply reduce the state's dependence on fossil fuels that will both curb global warming and spark an economic renaissance, the governor promises us with his customary, if often misplaced, sanguinity.
Two years ago, the Republican governor and Democratic legislators, led by former Assembly Speaker Fabian Núñez, passed AB 32, which
authorized the state to promulgate an extensive set of new regulations
aimed at reducing carbon dioxide emissions.
On Thursday, the
administration unveiled a "scoping plan" that outlines how the state
would cut greenhouse gases 10 percent from current levels by 2020 and
80 percent by 2050. It will be followed by more detailed and more
contentious rules.
Not coincidentally, as the draft plan was released in Sacramento, the
governor was in Florida (having flown there on his private,
oil-consuming jet) to complain that the United States is "so addicted
to oil it will take years to wean ourselves from it" and urge adoption
of more aggressive national energy policies.
He touted the bill as "something the world will be watching very
closely" as the state allocates responsibility for reducing carbon
emissions to various segments of society and the economy - with the
greatest effect being on cars and other forms of personal
transportation. The United States, he said, should emulate nations such
as Germany that have made massive commitments to renewable energy
sources, for example, windmills and solar panels.
Are Californians ready to become the point of the global-warming spear,
shouldering the financial costs and potential inconveniences that will
be involved and, in effect, exchanging the expansive California
lifestyle for something different?
Schwarzenegger cites a poll by an outfit called Next 10, purporting to
prove Californians are eager for that change, but the poll didn't fully
lay out the trade-offs that going green may require for the ambitious
goals for carbon reduction to be met. As with energy deregulation,
there is a tendency among advocates to hype the upside without
exploring the downside. And we can be certain there will be a downside.
Finally, there is the risk that even if we do everything the governor
wants us to do to reduce our "carbon footprint" (one wonders whether
he'll do it himself), it will have very little real world impact. If
China, India and other "emerging economies" remain exempt from global
emission standards and continue to pump carbon dioxide into the
atmosphere, California's effort may turn out to be an exercise in
political symbolism signifying nothing.
By the time we know one way or the other, Schwarzenegger will be long gone from Sacramento. Source
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