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Most warm weekends, you can find me in Central Park by the Tavern on the Green playing the beautiful game of petanque. This is the French version of bocci, only unlike the Italian game, which uses effeminate wooden balls, we use manly balls of steel.
The game goes like this: each team takes turns throwing 800g balls six to ten meters towards a small colored ball, called the cochonette. The goal is to get as close to the cochonette as possible. When each team has thrown their six balls, we walk up to the cochonette
and try to see which team’s balls is closer. Often, of course, it’s a
narrow call whether my ball or my opponent’s ball is nearest.
Now, I have stood over the cochonette literally thousands
of times—it helps to understand that I have perfect vision and have
never needed glasses—and in a large fraction of those times I would have sworn,
on my soul, that my ball was the closer of the two. Sometimes, of
course, it is, but if you know me as a player, you know that is a
rarity. Usually, my ball is the furthest, but it is often manifest, I
pledge on my honor, that mine is best! Not only does my ball
appear closer, but it is so obviously closer, that I cannot for the
life of me see why there is an argument from my opponent.
But there is invariably a dispute, so out comes the stick, usually a
telescoping radio antenna stripped from its base. Somebody bends down
and measures the distance between all the balls and the cochonette. Once the objective results are in, there are usually groans from one side and calls of “It was obvious” from the other.
Psychologists are well familiar with this phenomena; in science it is called the experimenter effect.
It describes what happens when an honest scientist carries out an
experiment in the absolutely fairest way possible, looks at the
results, and sees exactly what he expected to see, only to find that,
later, other scientists have shown his result to be a statistical
artifact or due to a forgotten, unaccounted variable. This is why, for
example, double-blind trials in medicine are required, else the doctors
would always find that the “active” pill beats the placebo. Read rest...
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