| on Jul 8, 2008, 01:00 AM E.S.T.
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June
satellite information is out on Antarctic sea ice and yet again we see
record amounts. Arctic ice is off less than 10% in the past 28 years
yet we continue to hear stories about "record" ice loss.
The
June 2008 Sea Ice satellite images are out from The National Snow and
Ice Data Center at the University of Colorado Boulder, CO. As expected
Antarctic sea ice is still running in record territory. The following
numbers are from 1980 when satellites first started accurate
measurements.
- 18% more Antarctic Sea Ice Concentration (from 9.6 to 11.2 million square km)
- 10% greater Antarctic Sea Ice Extent (from 13.2 to 14.5 million square km)
Where
is the one area of the Antarctic that has less ice today than in 1980?
The south side of the Antarctica Western Peninsula, which is all you
hear about in the popular news media. If at any time in the last 2 year
you've seen fear mongering over ice melting at Antarctica this is what
they were talking about. Yet the rest of Antarctica is gaining massive
amounts of ice. The sky is falling crowd will tell you that their
computer models predicted more inland ice due to increased snow fall
(of course their models predict damn near everything to happen, from
cooling / warming, drought / floods, etc. / etc). But increases in sea
ice is something they hadn't predicted which is why you hear almost
nothing about it. They simply point to the Antarctica Western Peninsula
and this or that ice shelf that is "breaking apart" (this is called
calving and is something that has always happened).

From the National Snow and Ice Data Center, University of Colorado
So what about Arctic sea ice? Again, since 1980:
- Ice Concentration is down a whopping 5% (down from 8.9 to 8.5 million square km)
- Ice Extent is down 8% (down from 12.3 to 11.4 million sq km).
Yet
the Arctic is getting most of the news. You see statements such as "On
August 21, 2007, the Northwest Passage became open to ships without the
need of an icebreaker. According to Nalan Koc of the Norwegian Polar
Institute this is the first time it has been clear since they began
keeping records in 1972." (Wikipedia) However Roald Amundsen first
navigated the passage in 1906 without the use of an icebreaker (at the
end of this trip, he walked into the city of Eagle, Alaska, and sent a
telegram announcing his success) so the Arctic ice has certainly
retreated this far in the near past. When you hear the term "record"
coming from the media or the environmentalists that could mean over the
past 10-30 years. When you're talking about climate you need to look at
time periods over at least 10,000 years for them to have any meaning.
References:
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