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Another Miss for the Modelers Print E-mail
Written by Chris Horner, Planet Gore   
Thursday, 31 July 2008

The hits (or rather misses) just keep on coming, in the form of observations and facts that are proving very inconvenient for James Hansen’s and the rest of the IPCC gang’s paranoid, hysterical, and angry advocacy for global governance, energy rationing, Kyoto, etc. Today, it is Hansen's catastrophe posterchild, Bangladesh — which, far from being soon underwater, is actually gaining land mass rather than losing it.

 

It turns out that the genii at the IPCC never considered that rivers silt up. This should not be surprising: leading sea-level rise expert Nils-Axel Mörner noted that the IPCC’s SLR panel is stacked with people who aren’t sea-level rise experts. Possibly they are the anthropology TAs, transport-policy instructors, and others that Climate Resistance discovered among the IPCC’s 2,000 “world’s leading climate scientists."

So, let’s review the bidding. The IPCC and the models on which it premises its version of reality are wrong on rainfall. They are wrong on GHG concentrations and behavior. Models are wrong on Antarctica, on Andean snowpack, on Bangladesh, on ocean temperatures, and wrong on the Northwest Passage. Roy Spencer’s research appears to have affirmed that models are demonstrably and fatally wrong on the threshold question of climate sensitivity.

Not to worry, the U.S. government is preparing to issue a hysterical statement, on which EPA says it will base its CO2 regulations [the deadline for public comments to NOAA is August 14, everyone], claiming that at least the models are finding observations consistent with models’ projections in . . . Alaska. Um, except that in April, NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory announced that the Pacific Decadal Oscillation — which accounted for all of Alaska’s warming (with a little help from the urban-heat-island effect) — had flipped again, and cooling is in the cards.

Other than that, why, those models are perfectly wonderful tools on which to premise trillion-dollar economic decisions!

Fortunately, we have two candidates for president promising to do just that.  Source


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