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Harvard's Holdren Assures Us the GW Debate Is Over Print E-mail
Written by Drew Thornley, from Planet Gore   
Tuesday, 05 August 2008

Today’s Boston Globe has an op-ed on climate “skeptics.” The author, Harvard’s John Holdren, writes:

THE FEW climate-change "skeptics" with any sort of scientific credentials continue to receive attention in the media out of all proportion to their numbers, their qualifications, or the merit of their arguments. And this muddying of the waters of public discourse is being magnified by the parroting of these arguments by a larger population of amateur skeptics with no scientific credentials at all.

. . . they have not come up with any plausible alternative culprit for the disruption of global climate that is being observed, for example, a culprit other than the greenhouse-gas buildups in the atmosphere that have been measured and tied beyond doubt to human activities.

(BTW, Holdren says the climate-change opposition “infest talk shows, Internet blogs, letters to the editor, op-ed pieces, and cocktail-party conversations,” but I guess Holdren’s op-ed is not an infestation.)

Putting aside how off-base Holdren is regarding the numbers and qualifications of those who question the inevitably catastrophic effects of anthropogenic global warming — much has been written on PG and elsewhere about the growing numbers who question AGW theory — Holdren criticizes “skeptics” for their lack of scientific proof and lack of scientific credentials, yet he offers not an ounce of scientific proof for his own position. Instead, he writes,
The leaderships of the national academies of sciences of the United States, United Kingdom, France, Italy, Germany, Japan, Russia, China, and India, among others, are on record saying that global climate change is real, caused mainly by humans, and reason for early, concerted action.

This is also the overwhelming majority view among the faculty members of the earth sciences departments at every first-rank university in the world.

All three of holders of the one Nobel prize in science that has been awarded for studies of the atmosphere (the 1995 chemistry prize to Paul Crutzen, Sherwood Rowland, and Mario Molina, for figuring out what was happening to stratospheric ozone) are leaders in the climate-change scientific mainstream.
Well, I guess that settles it. Science is not advanced or settled by the testing and retesting of hypotheses but rather by how many politicians and professors join in your theory. Holdren’s piece is in step with the repeated assertions that “the debate is over,” that a “scientific consensus” has been reached:
The extent of unfounded skepticism about the disruption of global climate by human-produced greenhouse gases is not just regrettable, it is dangerous. It has delayed — and continues to delay — the development of the political consensus that will be needed if society is to embrace remedies commensurate with the challenge. The science of climate change is telling us that we need to get going.
But scores of scientists, policymakers, and others don’t share Holdren’s sentiment. Why should they be dismissed as unreliable or unworthy? If these same people agreed with Holdren, would Holdren call into question their relevancy or their qualifications?

Holdren’s piece is just another example of why we need a real climate debate. There is no “scientific consensus.” Until science is practiced as it is meant to be practiced and not as a popularity contest, the issue will be advanced slowly, if at all.  In the words of Professor Richard Lindzen: 
So what, then, is one to make of this alleged debate? I would suggest at least three points.

First, nonscientists generally do not want to bother with understanding the science. Claims of consensus relieve policy types, environmental advocates and politicians of any need to do so. Such claims also serve to intimidate the public and even scientists — especially those outside the area of climate dynamics. Secondly, given that the question of human attribution largely cannot be resolved, its use in promoting visions of disaster constitutes nothing so much as a bait-and-switch scam. That is an inauspicious beginning to what Mr. Gore claims is not a political issue but a "moral" crusade.

Lastly, there is a clear attempt to establish truth not by scientific methods but by perpetual repetition. An earlier attempt at this was accompanied by tragedy. Perhaps Marx was right. This time around we may have farce — if we're lucky.
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