| There are two sides to the climate story. You're getting one. |
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| Written by Lorne Gunter, National Post | |||
| Wednesday, 06 August 2008 | |||
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Meanwhile, it is barely reported outside Alaska that America’s northernmost state is having a record cool summer. Auyuittuq is at 66 degrees north; Anchorage is at 61. The Baffin story may be more significant than the Alaska one. But why are we hearing all about one and nothing about the other? You can bet that if Anchorage were suffering a record hot summer, it would be all over the news and presented — as the Baffin temperatures are — as yet further proof of the dangerous impacts of global warming in the north.And what of the study, released in July by Switzerland’s Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, that shows European temperatures, at least, have risen in large part because of efforts over the past 30 years to clean the continent’s skies?
Christian Ruckstuhl and 12 co-authors found that of the 1C rise in
temperature in Europe over the last three decades, “at least half of
the warming” is attributable to a reduction of aerosols, such as
sulphur dioxide and black soot particles. As Europeans have cleaned up
their smokestacks and tailpipes, and as dirty old Soviet-era East
European plants have been modernized to Western standards, more
sunlight has penetrated the continent’s atmosphere and warmed things up
a bit. But you may not have heard about this little piece of climate-change news. Nor may you have heard about conclusions by University of Guelph environmental biologist Jonathan Newman and his graduate student Anna Mika. Last week, Prof. Newman and Ms. Mika warned other researchers to use results from the UN’s 31 climate computers with great caution. Apparently, if you are using these computer models (the data sources on which all of the UN’s climate doom and gloom rests) to determine what will happen to human or animal populations for the next century, or to forecast the spread of disease or pests and so on, the answer you get will vary according to which computer you use. “These models are the basis on which all research in climate change is done,” Prof. Newman said in a press release. Yet despite using two computers — one Canadian, one British — that both predicted the same future climate, “we basically got opposite answers” about the potential impact on insect spread “when we should have gotten the same answer.” No predictions of future climate-related catastrophes are reliable enough for use in making public policy “unless they are run through many models,” according to Prof. Newton, and then only if most of the models are in rough agreement. Or how about the discovery last month by NASA that at least 70% of global warming to date is due to the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, the pattern of ocean currents and cloud formation connected with the El Nino and La Nina phenomena? Or the paper by Gilbert Compo and Prashant Sardeshmukh of the Climate Diagnostics Center of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration that concludes, “the recent worldwide land warming has occurred largely in response to a worldwide warming of the oceans rather than as a direct response to increasing greenhouse gases.” Where were the mainstream news stories about that? Could the oceans have warmed due to human activity and then warmed the land? Perhaps a little, say Messrs. Compo and Sardeshmukh. But natural changes in ocean temperatures could account for all the warming, even without any effect from greenhouse gases. Why is it we hear only the Baffin stories and not the clean air/faulty climate computers/ocean warming ones? Surely it’s not because environmentalists and the journalists who cover them refuse to see any news except the news that confirms their biases. Only registered users can write comments!
3.26 Copyright (C) 2008 Compojoom.com / Copyright (C) 2007 Alain Georgette / Copyright (C) 2006 Frantisek Hliva. All rights reserved." |
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Record high temperatures on Baffin Island last month — it hit 27C on
July 21 — have made the news around the world, as has the evacuation of
21 visitors from the island’s Auyuittuq National Park. Fear that melt
water from the park’s glaciers might lead to flash flooding and
landslides has been reported by everyone from AFP to the BBC as proof
of the adverse side-effects of man-made climate change.