My friends, I need your help.

I have written a paper on quantifying the uncertainty of effects dueto global warming, but the subject is too big for one person.Nevertheless, I have tried to—in one location—list all of the majorareas of uncertainty, and I have attempted to quantify them as well. Iwould like your help in assessing my guesses. I am not at all certainthat I have done an adequate or even a good job with this.

At this link is the HTML version of the paper I am giving in Spain (I used latex2html to encode this; it is not beautiful, but it is mostly functional).

At this link is the PDF version of the paper,which is far superior to the HTML. This paper, complete with typos, isabout draft 0.8, so forgive the minor errors. Call me on the big ones,though.

I would like those interested to download the paper, read it, andhelp supply numbers for the uncertainty bounds found within. I wouldask that you not do this facetiously or glibly, orthat you not purposely underestimate the relevant probabilities. I wantan open, honest, intellectual intelligent discussion of the kinds andranges of uncertainties in the claims of effects due to global warming.For example, the words “Al Gore” should never appear in any comment. Ifyou have no solid information to offer in a given area, please feelfree to not comment on it. Read rest...